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The latest assessment on the status of the Chinese space lab Tiangong-1 confirms the likelihood that it will fall to Earth later than expected.

As of Friday afternoon, the unmanned station was predicted to re-enter the atmosphere around 11:15 a.m. EDT Sunday, April 1, with a 14-hour margin of error in either direction, according to The Aerospace Corp. of El Segundo, Calif.

Most of those pieces of debris do not pose any risk to people on Earth since the vast majority burns up during re-entry.

The re-entry latitude of the Tiangong-1 is expected to be within 43 degrees north and 43 degrees south of the equator, a huge swath of the earth which stretches from NY to Cape Town. That area includes the majority of the United States, Mexico, South America, Africa, India, Australia and a host of other countries.

An abandoned Chinese space station is falling to Earth and it could hit as early as this weekend.

If Tiangong-1 does reenter near you, chances are you will be able to see debris burning up in the sky, much like a small series of white meteors.

Tiangong-1 had not been occupied for three years, so there is no way of knowing for certain where it will land. Chinese taikonauts - including the nation's first female astronaut, Liu Yang - twice visited the outpost, in 2012 and 2013.

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The station had two modules, one for its solar panels and engines, and one for a pair of astronauts to live in and conduct experiments. Since then, it has been orbiting the Earth, gradually coming closer and closer to the planet.

China's National Space Agency isn't offering moment-by-moment updates on its satellite, but you can find occasional notifications.

How advanced is China's space program?

The lab was placed in orbit in September 2011 and had been slated for a controlled re-entry, but it ceased functioning in March 2016 and space enthusiasts have been bracing for its fiery return. The completed 60-ton station is set to come into full service in 2022 and operate for at least a decade.

The first USA space station, the 74-ton Skylab, fell to Earth in an uncontrolled reentry in 1979.

It also plans to send a manned mission to the moon in the future.

The Paris-based agency, which is managing the global campaign to follow the laboratory's fall, said on Saturday that the time and place of its re-entry continues to be a "highly variable" prediction affected by the changing solar activity, reports Efe news.


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