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This year's hurricane season is shaping to be another big one with a greater than 60% chance of a major hurricane hitting the USA coastline, according to a new forecast from top meteorologists.

Still, Colorado State University on Thursday released its first of several outlook reports, this one anticipating slightly above-average activity for this year's Atlantic hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.

"The years 1960, 1967 and 2006 had near-average Atlantic hurricane activity, while 1996 and 2011 were both above-normal hurricane seasons", he said.

A cooling of ocean waters over the next several months should lead to a slightly above-average Atlantic hurricane season this year, meteorologists predicted Thursday.

However, the report's authors say there is considerable uncertainty regarding what those temperatures will be during the peak of the season, which the National Hurricane Center says runs from mid-August to late October.

As they have done every year since 1984, Colorado State University (CSU) has released its initial predictions for the upcoming season. Seven of those are expected to become hurricanes and three are expected to be major hurricanes.

Once again and for the tenth consecutive year, Artemis will be tracking the hurricane season as it develops, over on our dedicated 2018 Atlantic Hurricane Season page and reporting on any impacts to reinsurance, ILS and catastrophe bond interests.

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After last year's ferocious hurricane season, forecasters expect a slightly above average number of hurricanes to form in the Atlantic this year and threaten land. Waters in other parts of the Atlantic remained cooler than average.

The probability for a hurricane tracking into the Caribbean is put at 52%, above the 42% long-term average.

"Last season had near-record warm sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic", said Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist at Colorado State University.

Last year, Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and Maria devastated the U.S. Gulf Coast, Florida and Puerto Rico, respectively.

The above-average season is because the United States is expected to be in a "weak La Niña" weather pattern.

"The conditions just don't look as strong as what they were previous year".


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