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The National Hurricane Center is giving it a 10 percent chance of developing into at least a tropical depression in the next five days in the Gulf.

Along with more consistency among other forecast models, it is looking more like this tropical wave moves out of the Caribbean and toward the Florida straights over the Labor Day Weekend. However, the weather service doesnt believe the tropical wave poses a threat to the region because its so disorganized.

By Friday evening, Potential Tropical Cyclone Six is expected to continue strengthening into a Tropical Storm, which at this point would then become the sixth named storm of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season and be given the name Florence. A disturbance is expected to affect Florida and the Gulf Coast this weekend into early next week, and Tropical Storm Florence is close to forming in the eastern Atlantic.

Located about 235 miles east-south-east of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands, the potential hurricane already has maximum sustained winds of 35 mph and is moving west at 13 mph.

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A potential tropical cyclone is a system that is not yet a fully formed tropical cyclone but will likely become one in the next 24 to 48 hours. That's very warm, but does not mean a storm will form.

A deep southeast flow is what has meteorologists forecasting downpours, gusty winds and frequent lightning as it moves across the area. First, whether or not this system continues to encounter less wind shear as it approaches the Gulf of Mexico. Rainfall totals are around two inches so far and more rain is expected.

The National Hurricane Center has issued tropical storm warnings for Santiago, Fogo and Brava, which make up the Cabo Verde Islands.


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